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Polymarket wallet 0xbfe009921fa322bdffa09a86b6325301e2af2d7e · on Polymarket since Jan 12, 2026 · also shown as Deserted-Unity
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $1 | +$0 +11% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $1 | +$0 +10% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +6.6% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 278d | Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | BuyDown99¢ | $1 |
| 281d | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | BuyNo87¢ | $1 |
| 281d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BuyNo88¢ | $1 |
| 281d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 7AM ET | SellDown38¢ | $1 |
| 281d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 7AM ET | BuyDown33¢ | $1 |
| 281d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET | BuyDown10¢ | $1 |
| 282d | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo94¢ | $1 |
| 282d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12AM ET | BuyDown39¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.