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Polymarket wallet 0xc09dc1ac33210791914ff5cf5f3ffe49f6c4f2ec · on Polymarket since Jul 18, 2024 · also shown as Soggy-Bijou
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20,000 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$680 −100% |
| Will the HBO documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,997 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$700 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,415 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Will the HBO documentary identify David Kleiman as Satoshi?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12,519 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$542 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16,196 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$186 −100% |
| Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 41,091 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$351 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 118,278 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,119 −100% |
| Will the HBO documentary identify Vili Lehdonvirta as Satoshi?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,972 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 15 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.