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Polymarket wallet 0xc32a3bfbe398db89dbdd0cd81243914a63bb2f86 · on Polymarket since Mar 2, 2026 · also shown as Scratchy-Beast
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 154 | 65¢ → 100¢ | $154 | +$54 +54% |
| Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 217 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 348,730 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$698 −100% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,578 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 215d | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $199 |
| 215d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $200 |
| 224d | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $399 |
| 228d | Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7? | BuyYes28¢ | $42 |
| 228d | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | BuyYes6¢ | $100 |
| 228d | Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31? | BuyYes46¢ | $100 |
| 229d | Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | BuyYes65¢ | $100 |
| 229d | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.