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Polymarket wallet 0xc4e68c97c101f7a5c3c1d9894df2d5fc4dda95f7 · on Polymarket since Oct 23, 2026 · also shown as Giving-Dud-Personal
Cpz6zvqa65uvxkNUCcVhwc4XF8ULDrc6pWpbtAkdpump
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?Ends in 7d | No | 86 | 48¢ → 63¢ | $54 | +$12 +30% |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?Ends in 7d | Yes | 80 | 39¢ → 56¢ | $44 | +$13 +42% |
| GitHub.com critical incident by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 85 | 34¢ → 32¢ | $27 | −$2 −5.7% |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?Ends in 433d | Yes | 38 | 50¢ → 56¢ | $21 | +$2 +11% |
| Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?Ends in 6d | Yes | 20 | 17¢ → 43¢ | $9 | +$5 +146% |
| Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October?Ends in 7d | Yes | 114 | 2¢ → 7¢ | $8 | +$6 +275% |
| GitHub.com critical incident by November 15, 2026?Ends in 22d | Yes | 6 | 70¢ → 76¢ | $5 | +$0 +8.4% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16m | Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30? | SellYes72¢ | $14 |
| 21m | GitHub.com critical incident by November 15, 2026? | BuyYes59¢ | $1 |
| 51m | GitHub.com critical incident by October 31, 2026? | BuyYes33¢ | $5 |
| 1h | GitHub.com critical incident by November 15, 2026? | BuyYes73¢ | $4 |
| 1h | Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30? | BuyYes17¢ | $7 |
| 2h | GitHub.com critical incident by October 31, 2026? | BuyYes30¢ | $6 |
| 2h | GitHub.com critical incident by October 31, 2026? | BuyYes30¢ | $6 |
| 2h | GitHub.com critical incident by October 31, 2026? | BuyYes30¢ | $6 |
| 7h | Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October? | BuyYes38¢ | $8 |
| 12h | Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October? | BuyNo51¢ | $24 |
| 14h | GitHub.com critical incident by October 31, 2026? | BuyYes56¢ | $6 |
| 14h | Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October? | BuyYes2¢ | $2 |
| 14h | Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October? | BuyNo45¢ | $17 |
| 14h | Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October? | BuyYes39¢ | $24 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.