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Polymarket wallet 0xc65bf2243f7c231433f267c46beb270b6d4e7aab · on Polymarket since Jan 2, 2026 · also shown as Far-Caravan
prophet of doom
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 182 | 11¢ → 3¢ | $6 | −$14 −70% |
| Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 208 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 240 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17,857 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$170 −100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 222 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 714 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,857 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 198d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $20 |
| 198d | Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | BuyYes11¢ | $20 |
| 198d | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BuyYes9¢ | $20 |
| 198d | Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June? | BuyYes12¢ | $25 |
| 198d | Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June? | SellYes4¢ | $23 |
| 250d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $150 |
| 250d | March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28? | BuyYes3¢ | $20 |
| 254d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $20 |
| 255d | Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June? | BuyYes12¢ | $60 |
| 255d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes17¢ | $100 |
| 255d | Ukraine coup attempt by June 30? | BuyYes8¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.