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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Settled - ready to redeem | Israel | 2 | 51¢ → 50¢ | $1 | −$0 −2.7% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 12 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - March 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 37 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 25 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - March 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 186 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 50 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 234d | XRP Up or Down - March 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $2 |
| 234d | Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BuyDown2¢ | $1 |
| 234d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BuyDown4¢ | $1 |
| 235d | Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | BuyIsrael51¢ | $1 |
| 235d | Solana Up or Down - March 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BuyUp4¢ | $1 |
| 235d | Solana Up or Down - March 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BuyUp8¢ | $1 |
| 235d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 3? | BuyUp23¢ | $1 |
| 235d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BuyDown13¢ | $1 |
| 235d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BuyDown24¢ | $1 |
| 235d | Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $1 |
| 235d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.