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Polymarket wallet 0xc84c27b0f9b9d65c45d1fd7773668f98321e4b4d · on Polymarket since May 29, 2025 · also shown as Dismal-Placebo
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| 25% South Korea tariff in effect by August 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 220 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$54 −100% |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 63 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Will BTS release any tracks in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,292 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 300 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$83 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 43 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.