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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 308 | 18¢ → 2¢ | $8 | −$48 −86% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 408 | 12¢ → 2¢ | $6 | −$43 −87% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 181d | Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? | BuyYes18¢ | $55 |
| 188d | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BuyYes12¢ | $50 |
| 199d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SellYes46¢ | $10 |
| 200d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BuyYes22¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.