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Polymarket wallet 0xcae12b688f428976ee12cbd824e7f518c513119b · on Polymarket since Jan 14, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 459 | 51¢ → 100¢ | $459 | +$225 +96% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 2,833 | 18¢ → 3¢ | $82 | −$428 −84% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,234 | 61¢ → 6¢ | $68 | −$682 −91% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,071 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$300 −100% |
| Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,632 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 424 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$300 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 835 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 271d | Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | SellYes98¢ | $320 |
| 283d | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14? | BuyYes51¢ | $234 |
| 283d | Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | BuyYes61¢ | $200 |
| 283d | Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31? | BuyYes71¢ | $300 |
| 283d | Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BuyYes60¢ | $500 |
| 283d | Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31? | BuyYes8¢ | $200 |
| 283d | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BuyYes18¢ | $500 |
| 283d | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BuyYes18¢ | $10 |
| 283d | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BuyYes61¢ | $750 |
| 283d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyYes28¢ | $300 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.