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Polymarket wallet 0xcbe17fabccd2bdde09a3790fb7acb5e7280fa4af · on Polymarket since Mar 7, 2026 · also shown as Dangerous-Stupidity
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 804 | 68¢ → 100¢ | $804 | +$254 +46% |
| Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,564 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,000 −100% |
| Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 889 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 220d | Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes? | BuyNo68¢ | $550 |
| 220d | Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23? | BuyYes39¢ | $1,000 |
| 220d | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31? | SellNo94¢ | $354 |
| 220d | Will Trump visit China by March 31? | SellNo99¢ | $1,232 |
| 228d | Will Trump visit China by March 31? | BuyNo40¢ | $500 |
| 228d | Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam? | SellYes86¢ | $506 |
| 228d | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31? | BuyNo80¢ | $300 |
| 230d | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | BuyYes61¢ | $190 |
| 230d | Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote? | BuyNo56¢ | $500 |
| 230d | Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam? | BuyYes85¢ | $500 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.