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Polymarket wallet 0xcdc80f61d57495e5e425dc1d63f26f457b8225e4 · on Polymarket since Oct 29, 2025
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 118 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 313 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33d | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 | BuyYes6¢ | $20 |
| 342d | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025? | BuyYes4¢ | $8 |
| 342d | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by March 31? | BuyYes8¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.