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Polymarket wallet 0xcf1c4f4079bfecbe79e8408c0094fd34cf9fa0a4 · on Polymarket since Oct 21, 2025 · also shown as Obvious-Wax
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,692 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$846 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,768 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$884 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - October 21, 2AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,582 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$791 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 14, 5AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 19 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on November 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 870 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$574 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 265d | Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on February 2? | BuyUp52¢ | $10 |
| 265d | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown64¢ | $11 |
| 314d | Solana Up or Down - December 14, 5AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $11 |
| 314d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 14, 5AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $10 |
| 353d | Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on November 5? | BuyDown66¢ | $574 |
| 353d | Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on November 5? | BuyUp53¢ | $720 |
| 353d | Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on November 5? | BuyUp40¢ | $716 |
| 367d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $846 |
| 367d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $879 |
| 367d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $5 |
| 368d | XRP Up or Down - October 21, 2AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $791 |
| 368d | Solana Up or Down - October 21, 2AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $893 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.