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Polymarket wallet 0xd1ad0091b81e148c46b6c19a4cc84badee31b747 · on Polymarket since Feb 6, 2025 · also shown as Insubstantial-Optimist
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 41 | 86¢ → 100¢ | $41 | +$6 +16% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 331d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes12¢ | $15 |
| 331d | No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | BuyNo86¢ | $35 |
| 597d | Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BuyNo91¢ | $102 |
| 623d | Predators vs. Blackhawks | BuyBlackhawks34¢ | $191 |
| 623d | Jazz vs. Suns | BuyJazz26¢ | $353 |
| 623d | Bucks vs. Hawks | BuyBucks59¢ | $764 |
| 623d | Heat vs. Nets | BuyNets35¢ | $1,000 |
| 624d | Pacers vs. Clippers | BuyPacers37¢ | $1,084 |
| 624d | Warriors vs. Lakers | BuyWarriors30¢ | $358 |
| 624d | Magic vs. Nuggets | BuyMagic31¢ | $500 |
| 624d | Mavericks vs. Celtics | BuyMavericks15¢ | $222 |
| 625d | Bulls vs. Timberwolves | BuyBulls19¢ | $78 |
| 625d | Magic vs. Kings | BuyMagic36¢ | $240 |
| 625d | Warriors vs. Jazz | BuyJazz32¢ | $350 |
| 625d | Heat vs. 76ers | BuyHeat47¢ | $110 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 13 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.