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Polymarket wallet 0xd1c96611f20f81037df776a1687fc0c656f8c66d · on Polymarket since Sep 29, 2024 · also shown as Crafty-Leaf
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,010 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 6+ times during events with Rutte?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Cavaliers vs. SunsSettled - ready to redeem | Cavaliers | 2 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 142d | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BuyYes27¢ | $1 |
| 164d | Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | BuyNo27¢ | $1 |
| 198d | Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 6+ times during events with Rutte? | BuyYes45¢ | $1 |
| 217d | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections? | BuyNo39¢ | $1 |
| 258d | Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | BuyYes79¢ | $4 |
| 267d | Cavaliers vs. Suns | BuyCavaliers52¢ | $1 |
| 301d | Clippers vs. Trail Blazers | BuyClippers55¢ | $3 |
| 337d | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on November 20? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,005 |
| 337d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 20? | BuyYes<1¢ | $4 |
| 750d | Arsenal wins the Premier League? | SellYes38¢ | $0 |
| 751d | Arsenal wins the Premier League? | BuyYes38¢ | $0 |
| 753d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes49¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.