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Polymarket wallet 0xd1eb603be7a9b65abf98163e47ec77e4fc3a1913 · on Polymarket since Oct 1, 2025 · also shown as Grumpy-Choosing
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 37¢ → 100¢ | $15 | +$10 +170% |
| Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 382d | Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15? | BuyYes37¢ | $6 |
| 382d | Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31? | BuyNo72¢ | $14 |
| 382d | Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31? | BuyNo40¢ | $8 |
| 382d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31? | BuyNo41¢ | $8 |
| 382d | Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31? | BuyNo41¢ | $8 |
| 382d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31? | BuyNo42¢ | $8 |
| 382d | Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31? | BuyNo72¢ | $7 |
| 383d | US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31? | SellNo76¢ | $15 |
| 383d | Israel strikes Iran before 2026? | SellNo63¢ | $13 |
| 383d | Israel strikes Iran by October 31? | SellNo86¢ | $17 |
| 383d | Will the Government shutdown end October 15+? | SellYes73¢ | $5 |
| 388d | Will the Government shutdown end October 15+? | BuyYes38¢ | $3 |
| 388d | US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31? | BuyNo79¢ | $16 |
| 388d | Israel strikes Iran before 2026? | BuyNo58¢ | $12 |
| 388d | Israel strikes Iran by October 31? | BuyNo82¢ | $16 |
| 388d | Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5? | BuyNo92¢ | $9 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.