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Polymarket wallet 0xd1f706a94d69266dc40a3036f5abcb480651935f · on Polymarket since Jan 11, 2026 · also shown as Thick-Owner
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 41 | 70¢ → 100¢ | $41 | +$12 +43% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 281d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo70¢ | $29 |
| 281d | Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)? | SellYes3¢ | $18 |
| 281d | Will Israel or the US target Tehran? | SellYes20¢ | $4 |
| 281d | Will the US strike Iran next? | BuyYes9¢ | $60 |
| 282d | Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)? | BuyYes17¢ | $105 |
| 283d | US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | BuyNo93¢ | $98 |
| 283d | US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | BuyNo83¢ | $50 |
| 283d | Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | SellYes15¢ | $108 |
| 284d | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | SellYes22¢ | $11 |
| 285d | Will Israel or the US target Tehran? | BuyYes48¢ | $10 |
| 285d | Israel strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $10 |
| 286d | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BuyYes22¢ | $11 |
| 286d | Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BuyYes14¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.