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Polymarket wallet 0xd4381464e6826f168d8abefd22813a45d036ca6e · on Polymarket since Sep 9, 2024 · also shown as Neighboring-Regard
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 86¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +16% |
| US GDP declines in Q3 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +5.6% |
| U.S. Recession in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 774d | Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30? | BuyNo86¢ | $1 |
| 774d | Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024? | BuyNo36¢ | $1 |
| 774d | Will Russia capture Toretsk before October? | BuyYes35¢ | $1 |
| 774d | US GDP declines in Q3 2024? | BuyNo95¢ | $1 |
| 774d | U.S. Recession in 2024? | BuyYes8¢ | $1 |
| 774d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting? | BuyYes76¢ | $1 |
| 774d | Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10? | BuyYes98¢ | $1 |
| 774d | Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10? | BuyYes98¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.