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Polymarket wallet 0xd4a3d8a9b2b8b26c0eb4ba9ba6df3c2c7512e4ca · on Polymarket since Nov 17, 2025 · also shown as Rare-Surprise
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2,070 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,035 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 9AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 680 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$340 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 8AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 705 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$353 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 11AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 834 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$417 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 6AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 801 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$401 −100% |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 6 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 96d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 99d | Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5 | BuyOver47¢ | $3 |
| 102d | Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 334d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $1,035 |
| 335d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 11AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $417 |
| 335d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $428 |
| 335d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 9AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $245 |
| 335d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 9AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $51 |
| 335d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 9AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $45 |
| 335d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 8AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $353 |
| 335d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 6AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $363 |
| 335d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 6AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $35 |
| 335d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 6AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.