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Polymarket wallet 0xd4c275ef1ff39cba83f671c60b76b465549939b9 · on Polymarket since Jan 8, 2026 · also shown as Loud-Pheromone
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 25 | 60¢ → 100¢ | $25 | +$10 +67% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,668 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,100 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 16 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 156d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | BuyDown60¢ | $15 |
| 156d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BuyDown31¢ | $5 |
| 157d | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SellYes17¢ | $21 |
| 285d | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BuyYes47¢ | $57 |
| 288d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes30¢ | $1,100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.