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Polymarket wallet 0xd581ac5874ac03505c40ebc634ba6e04571f699a · on Polymarket since Dec 23, 2024 · also shown as Slippery-Policy
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 57 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $56 | +$6 +11% |
| XRP Up or Down - July 24, 7AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10,000 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5,000 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 255d | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo88¢ | $50 |
| 288d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BuyNo99¢ | $50 |
| 313d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ | $12 |
| 352d | Israel strikes Iran by November 30? | BuyNo97¢ | $11 |
| 374d | Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October? | BuyNo99¢ | $11 |
| 399d | Base airdrop in Q3 2025? | BuyNo100¢ | $11 |
| 457d | XRP Up or Down - July 24, 7AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $5,000 |
| 637d | Ripple above $3.15 on January 31? | BuyNo54¢ | $54 |
| 637d | Dogecoin above $0.36 on January 31? | BuyYes45¢ | $45 |
| 650d | Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17? | BuyNo51¢ | $51 |
| 650d | Ethereum above $3,300 on January 17? | BuyYes49¢ | $49 |
| 657d | Solana above $215 on January 10? | BuyNo45¢ | $45 |
| 657d | Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10? | BuyYes63¢ | $63 |
| 663d | Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3? | BuyNo50¢ | $50 |
| 663d | Dogecoin above $0.31 on January 3? | BuyNo37¢ | $37 |
| 670d | Ethereum above $3,400 on December 27? | BuyYes39¢ | $39 |
| 670d | Ripple above $2.20 on December 27? | BuyYes47¢ | $47 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 15 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.