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Polymarket wallet 0xda898f5fec0d43019bc4a1152f7ba6bd868439dd · on Polymarket since Jun 17, 2025 · also shown as Cooked-Strobe
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 27 | 37¢ → 45¢ | $12 | +$2 +20% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 14 | 69¢ → 83¢ | $12 | +$2 +20% |
| Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?Ends in 3d | Opp. | 20 | 51¢ → 57¢ | $11 | +$1 +13% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 16 | 64¢ → 70¢ | $11 | +$1 +8.6% |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | No | 14 | 70¢ → 71¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 14 | 71¢ → 66¢ | $9 | −$1 −7.3% |
| Israel military action against Yemen by December 31?Ends in 67d | No | 11 | 88¢ → 73¢ | $8 | −$2 −18% |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 15 | 65¢ → 44¢ | $7 | −$3 −33% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 77 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3d | Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? | BuyOpp.51¢ | $10 |
| 3d | Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2027? | BuyNo70¢ | $10 |
| 31d | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo69¢ | $10 |
| 31d | Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | BuyNo71¢ | $10 |
| 31d | Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | BuyYes65¢ | $10 |
| 32d | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode? | BuyNo13¢ | $10 |
| 32d | Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BuyYes37¢ | $10 |
| 32d | Israel military action against Yemen by December 31? | BuyNo88¢ | $10 |
| 32d | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BuyYes64¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.