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Polymarket wallet 0xdde2cecbed27b60869c0111226b902f02d463d12 · on Polymarket since Sep 13, 2024 · also shown as Intentional-Daisy
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin above $60,000 on September 20?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 250 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum above $2,400 on September 20?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 125 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Fed rate cut by September 18?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 59 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Fed rate cut by November 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 143 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Fed rate cut by December 18?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 167 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 67 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 85 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 764d | Ethereum above $2,400 on September 20? | BuyNo1¢ | $1 |
| 764d | Bitcoin above $60,000 on September 20? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 766d | Fed rate cut by December 18? | BuyNo1¢ | $1 |
| 766d | Fed rate cut by November 7? | BuyNo1¢ | $1 |
| 766d | Fed rate cut by September 18? | BuyNo2¢ | $1 |
| 766d | Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 767d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting? | BuyYes40¢ | $13 |
| 767d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting? | BuyYes60¢ | $30 |
| 767d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting? | BuyYes40¢ | $21 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.