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Polymarket wallet 0xde1549da6dcc33fbe0364ebaef72009aafbc2ccf · on Polymarket since Jan 11, 2026 · also shown as Superficial-Movie
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 76¢ → 100¢ | $40 | +$10 +32% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 94 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 13 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 55 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 52 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 107d | Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France? | BuyYes18¢ | $10 |
| 107d | Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France? | BuyYes76¢ | $30 |
| 123d | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on June 18? | BuyYes56¢ | $20 |
| 229d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | BuyUp51¢ | $5 |
| 242d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | BuyDown37¢ | $5 |
| 245d | Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BuyNo21¢ | $20 |
| 245d | Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28? | BuyYes38¢ | $20 |
| 246d | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyYes2¢ | $5 |
| 256d | Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded? | BuyYes50¢ | $40 |
| 258d | Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded? | BuyNo44¢ | $20 |
| 261d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyNo27¢ | $20 |
| 261d | Wofford Terriers vs. Chattanooga Mocs | BuyChattanooga Mocs53¢ | $20 |
| 263d | Virginia Cavaliers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish | BuyVirginia Cavaliers24¢ | $20 |
| 263d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyYes75¢ | $20 |
| 266d | Patriots vs. Broncos | BuyPatriots66¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 9 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.