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Polymarket wallet 0xde164577fa7c5647c4d1fd0b6ca2a35bfd4b0abe · on Polymarket since Oct 23, 2025 · also shown as Guilty-Matrix
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Leavitt say "National Guard" during next White House press briefing?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 59 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 734 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - October 23, 3PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 364d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 364d | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | SellYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 365d | XRP Up or Down - October 23, 3PM ET | BuyDown<1¢ | $1 |
| 365d | Will Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 365d | Will Leavitt say "National Guard" during next White House press briefing? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 365d | Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 365d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3PM ET | BuyUp<1¢ | $1 |
| 365d | XRP Up or Down - October 23, 2PM ET | BuyUp<1¢ | $1 |
| 365d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2PM ET | BuyUp<1¢ | $1 |
| 365d | Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 365d | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.