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Polymarket wallet 0xe04199be4ac42dd5c69c1c6b47744a3de4a79d2d · on Polymarket since Jan 18, 2026 · also shown as Simplistic-Volcano
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Spread: Magic (-4.5)Settled - ready to redeem | Magic | 886 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$408 −100% |
| Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Settled - ready to redeem | Under | 3,702 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,740 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 89 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$45 −100% |
| Spread: Magic (-3.5)Settled - ready to redeem | Magic | 5,071 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,586 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $32 |
| 81d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $13 |
| 84d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 87d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $0 |
| 87d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $2 |
| 87d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $0 |
| 90d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 93d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 96d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 99d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $1 |
| 102d | Spread: National (-1.5) | BuyAmerican62¢ | $0 |
| 102d | Spread: National (-1.5) | BuyAmerican62¢ | $3 |
| 106d | Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $3 |
| 278d | Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 | BuyUnder47¢ | $384 |
| 278d | Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 | BuyUnder47¢ | $1,355 |
| 278d | Spread: Magic (-3.5) | BuyMagic51¢ | $2,586 |
| 278d | Spread: Magic (-4.5) | BuyMagic46¢ | $408 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.