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Polymarket wallet 0xe238dc271520765ae22b528a36bb32e96defd3fc · on Polymarket since Apr 6, 2026 · also shown as Rotating-Seabass
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 450 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $439 | +$19 +4.5% |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 463 | 13¢ → 25¢ | $116 | +$57 +96% |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,107 | 8¢ → 8¢ | $83 | −$2 −1.9% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 277 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $12 | −$0 −3.7% |
| Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 80 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 926 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$722 −100% |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$76 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 42 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.