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Polymarket wallet 0xe45452fe377ab1d97b4a72779e6fd15928aeb41c · on Polymarket since Feb 4, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 120 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| Khamenei public appearance by February 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,189 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 252d | Khamenei public appearance by February 13, 2026? | BuyNo1¢ | $24 |
| 252d | US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | SellNo47¢ | $24 |
| 253d | US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo47¢ | $80 |
| 260d | US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday? | SellNo<1¢ | $59 |
| 260d | Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28? | SellYes37¢ | $19 |
| 260d | Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28? | BuyYes40¢ | $20 |
| 260d | US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday? | SellNo<1¢ | $10 |
| 260d | US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday? | SellNo<1¢ | $10 |
| 260d | US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday? | SellNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 260d | US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday? | BuyNo<1¢ | $140 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.