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Polymarket wallet 0xe53081f74199aab0004f435fd982f77c6bc41b39 · on Polymarket since Oct 9, 2024 · also shown as Fluid-Radiosonde
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by January 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,008 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$149 −100% |
| MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 67 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,461 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$190 −100% |
| Solana above $170 on November 8?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,970 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$97 −100% |
| Will the HBO documentary identify Elon Musk as Satoshi?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 644d | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by January 31, 2025? | BuyYes5¢ | $149 |
| 716d | Solana above $170 on November 8? | BuyNo2¢ | $97 |
| 717d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | SellYes<1¢ | $2 |
| 718d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes38¢ | $68 |
| 726d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes34¢ | $213 |
| 726d | MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? | BuyYes15¢ | $10 |
| 745d | Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi? | BuyYes5¢ | $190 |
| 745d | Will the HBO documentary identify Elon Musk as Satoshi? | BuyYes<1¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.