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Polymarket wallet 0xe91eba87df4dcd0f941364ccc123b3e05e153389 · on Polymarket since Nov 2, 2024 · also shown as Unnatural-Meat
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin above $70,000 on November 8?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,315 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum above $2,500 on November 8?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,393 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,132 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,429 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 715d | No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 715d | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 715d | Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 715d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting? | BuyNo1¢ | $20 |
| 715d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $20 |
| 715d | Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 716d | Ethereum above $2,500 on November 8? | BuyNo4¢ | $50 |
| 716d | Bitcoin above $70,000 on November 8? | BuyNo4¢ | $50 |
| 717d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | SellYes99¢ | $1,618 |
| 721d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes58¢ | $956 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.