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Polymarket wallet 0xea68e7fc19b09faf9362c4eacfbd8d4d32b66b55 · on Polymarket since Jul 12, 2025 · also shown as Spry-Lie
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 152 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,338 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$157 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 455 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,327 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$83 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 90 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,019 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,324 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$130 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 889 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 212d | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BuyYes18¢ | $16 |
| 212d | Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30? | BuyYes10¢ | $130 |
| 216d | Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31? | BuyYes8¢ | $49 |
| 218d | Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31? | BuyYes14¢ | $109 |
| 241d | US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026? | BuyYes32¢ | $48 |
| 241d | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | SellYes60¢ | $48 |
| 241d | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes61¢ | $177 |
| 241d | US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | SellYes15¢ | $176 |
| 244d | US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | BuyYes24¢ | $281 |
| 244d | US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $5 |
| 244d | US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $5 |
| 257d | US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $24 |
| 257d | US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $7 |
| 465d | Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July? | BuyYes3¢ | $83 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.