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Polymarket wallet 0xea7c656036f9478be068bff8a96c6b86307cc318 · on Polymarket since Nov 15, 2025 · also shown as Muddy-Polyp
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 2,568 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,181 −100% |
| NYA (NYA) Up or Down on December 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 16 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Meta (META) Up or Down on March 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 2,460 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,304 −100% |
| FactSet Research Systems (FDS) Up or Down After Earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 13 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| DAX (DAX) Up or Down on March 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 2,480 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,066 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,768 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$884 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 227d | DAX (DAX) Up or Down on March 11? | BuyUp43¢ | $1,066 |
| 227d | Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on March 11? | BuyUp57¢ | $1,444 |
| 228d | Meta (META) Up or Down on March 10? | BuyDown53¢ | $1,304 |
| 228d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 10? | BuyUp46¢ | $1,181 |
| 266d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $14 |
| 324d | NYA (NYA) Up or Down on December 4? | BuyDown50¢ | $8 |
| 324d | FactSet Research Systems (FDS) Up or Down After Earnings? | BuyUp50¢ | $7 |
| 342d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BuyDown53¢ | $975 |
| 342d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $877 |
| 343d | Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $928 |
| 343d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $884 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.