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Polymarket wallet 0xed15d2f8a69a85effc2421bc38b79dbd6cea4dc8 · on Polymarket since Mar 28, 2023 · also shown as Critical-Adviser
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will turnout be between 1000000 and 1100000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $12 | +$1 +6.4% |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 30¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$2 +233% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 1% and 0%?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$0 +2.7% |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 74¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$1 +35% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +5.3% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 74¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +36% |
| US recession in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 82¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +22% |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 470d | US recession in 2025? | BuyNo82¢ | $1 |
| 470d | Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | BuyYes7¢ | $1 |
| 470d | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series? | BuyYes30¢ | $1 |
| 470d | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BuyYes74¢ | $1 |
| 470d | No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? | BuyYes95¢ | $2 |
| 470d | No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? | BuyYes95¢ | $2 |
| 470d | Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 1% and 0%? | BuyNo97¢ | $3 |
| 470d | Will GPT-5 be released by July 31? | BuyNo74¢ | $2 |
| 470d | Will turnout be between 1000000 and 1100000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary? | BuyYes94¢ | $11 |
| 880d | Drake's secret daughter confirmed by May 31? | BuyNo100¢ | $6 |
| 880d | Will Nic Carter vs. David Hoffman have no winner? | BuyYes93¢ | $12 |
| 880d | 'The Garfield Movie' <$26m Opening Weekend? | BuyYes95¢ | $3 |
| 880d | Will Gitanas Nauseda win the 2024 Lithuanian presidential election? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.