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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 158d | No | 48 | 42¢ → 42¢ | $20 | −$0 −0.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 18 | 66¢ → 66¢ | $12 | −$0 −0.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | No | 13 | 81¢ → 77¢ | $10 | −$1 −5.6% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 12 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 22 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - October 9, 8AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 37 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 9 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | BuyNo42¢ | $20 |
| 5d | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | BuyNo81¢ | $11 |
| 7d | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo66¢ | $12 |
| 7d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SellNo88¢ | $11 |
| 12d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11AM ET | SellDown2¢ | $1 |
| 12d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11AM ET | BuyDown32¢ | $13 |
| 13d | Solana Up or Down - October 11, 1PM ET | SellUp69¢ | $9 |
| 13d | Solana Up or Down - October 11, 1PM ET | BuyUp35¢ | $5 |
| 13d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 12PM ET | BuyUp39¢ | $10 |
| 15d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | BuyDown24¢ | $6 |
| 15d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 10AM ET | BuyDown42¢ | $5 |
| 15d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | BuyDown32¢ | $3 |
| 15d | Solana Up or Down - October 9, 8AM ET | BuyUp4¢ | $1 |
| 15d | Solana Up or Down - October 9, 8AM ET | BuyUp34¢ | $2 |
| 15d | Solana Up or Down - October 9, 8AM ET | BuyUp41¢ | $2 |
| 15d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BuyNo82¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.