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Polymarket wallet 0xef35dc1f5682a56ff731fbd7518bc128f9cdf25a · on Polymarket since Nov 16, 2025 · also shown as Cylindrical-Birdwatcher
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XRP Up or Down - November 16, 11AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 969 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$485 −100% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - July 27, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersSettled - ready to redeem | Over | 5 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - November 16, 10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 863 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$432 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - November 16, 12PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,048 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$524 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - August 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 25 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - November 16, 1PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,132 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$566 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - November 16, 9AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 647 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$324 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81d | XRP Up or Down - August 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $13 |
| 85d | Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $3 |
| 89d | Dogecoin Up or Down - July 27, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 93d | BNB Up or Down - July 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $0 |
| 93d | BNB Up or Down - July 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $2 |
| 98d | Ethereum Up or Down - July 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $0 |
| 98d | Ethereum Up or Down - July 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $2 |
| 102d | Ethereum Up or Down - July 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $3 |
| 106d | Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners | BuyOver56¢ | $3 |
| 237d | Spread: Hawks (-5.5) | BuyHawks50¢ | $281 |
| 342d | XRP Up or Down - November 16, 1PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $566 |
| 342d | XRP Up or Down - November 16, 12PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $524 |
| 342d | XRP Up or Down - November 16, 11AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $73 |
| 342d | XRP Up or Down - November 16, 11AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $412 |
| 342d | XRP Up or Down - November 16, 10AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $414 |
| 342d | XRP Up or Down - November 16, 10AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $18 |
| 342d | XRP Up or Down - November 16, 9AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $324 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.