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Polymarket wallet 0xef5a0b856803e1312458cb1341cb4c191f473bf2 · on Polymarket since Oct 19, 2026 · also shown as Chief-Casualty-Release
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$0 −50% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 4d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | BuyUp<1¢ | $5 |
| 4d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | BuyUp<1¢ | $5 |
| 4d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | BuyUp64¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.