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Polymarket wallet 0xef5deb65fa12a86e47b9cd2849cceec70faae72e · on Polymarket since Mar 11, 2026 · also shown as Insubstantial-Affair-Upgrade
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 162 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$94 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 33 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 98¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 221d | Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | BuyDown98¢ | $5 |
| 221d | Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | BuyUp36¢ | $1 |
| 221d | Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | BuyDown57¢ | $94 |
| 221d | Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BuyUp87¢ | $5 |
| 221d | Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BuyUp16¢ | $1 |
| 221d | Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BuyUp3¢ | $1 |
| 221d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | BuyUp79¢ | $1 |
| 221d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BuyDown98¢ | $1 |
| 221d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | BuyDown65¢ | $1 |
| 221d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BuyUp99¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.