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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 143 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 286 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 217 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 669 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 354d | Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 42.5 on November 7 2025? | BuyYes77¢ | $20 |
| 354d | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet? | BuyNo7¢ | $20 |
| 354d | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | BuyNo15¢ | $100 |
| 413d | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | BuyYes5¢ | $10 |
| 458d | Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31? | BuyNo88¢ | $1,104 |
| 475d | No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? | BuyNo7¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.