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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 50¢ → 100¢ | $20 | +$10 +100% |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 50¢ → 100¢ | $20 | +$10 +100% |
| Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 50¢ → 100¢ | $17 | +$9 +100% |
| Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 37 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 246d | Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 28? | SellYes44¢ | $9 |
| 246d | Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? | SellYes39¢ | $8 |
| 246d | US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | SellYes11¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.