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Polymarket wallet 0xf1fcf038f970c5f4a518c11bc0b49bb12f575d64 · on Polymarket since Jan 19, 2026 · also shown as Spherical-Cicada
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 77 | 13¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$9 −90% |
| Will the US strike another country first?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 541 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the US not strike another country before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,413 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in January?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 32 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Denmark by Feburary 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 424 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,667 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.4m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 132 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $630b and $640b on January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 57 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 275d | Will the US not strike another country before 2027? | BuyYes1¢ | $13 |
| 275d | Will the US strike another country first? | BuyYes2¢ | $10 |
| 275d | Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Denmark by Feburary 1? | BuyYes2¢ | $10 |
| 277d | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BuyYes13¢ | $10 |
| 277d | Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in January? | BuyYes25¢ | $8 |
| 277d | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during WEF Address on January 21? | BuyYes30¢ | $10 |
| 277d | New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 277d | Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $630b and $640b on January 31? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 277d | Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.4m? | BuyYes8¢ | $10 |
| 277d | Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday? | BuyYes<1¢ | $14 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.