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Polymarket wallet 0xf29bb45a15a2c39afe608afdc90e6692a8e11182 · on Polymarket since Dec 4, 2025 · also shown as Troubled-Patriarch
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on December 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 107 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 174 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 87 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,943 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 45 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 316d | Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on December 11? | BuyUp29¢ | $31 |
| 316d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | SellYes16¢ | $14 |
| 316d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes17¢ | $15 |
| 322d | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025? | BuyYes29¢ | $5 |
| 323d | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | BuyNo<1¢ | $4 |
| 323d | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 323d | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 5? | BuyYes20¢ | $5 |
| 323d | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 323d | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025? | BuyYes2¢ | $2 |
| 323d | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 5? | BuyYes1¢ | $2 |
| 323d | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | BuyNo1¢ | $4 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.