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Polymarket wallet 0xf4baa8b609deca8be7ca74bb888a30ce38da0bac · on Polymarket since Feb 3, 2026 · also shown as Scaly-Disagreement
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solana Up or Down - February 2, 10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2,830 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 49 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3,210 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2,880 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - February 2, 11PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2,680 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 263d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET | BuyUp4¢ | $2 |
| 263d | XRP Up or Down - February 2, 11PM ET | BuyDown<1¢ | $1 |
| 263d | XRP Up or Down - February 2, 11PM ET | BuyDown<1¢ | $1 |
| 263d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11PM ET | BuyDown63¢ | $6 |
| 263d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11PM ET | BuyDown66¢ | $3 |
| 263d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11PM ET | BuyUp40¢ | $1 |
| 263d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 10PM ET | BuyDown<1¢ | $3 |
| 263d | Solana Up or Down - February 2, 10PM ET | BuyDown<1¢ | $1 |
| 263d | Solana Up or Down - February 2, 10PM ET | BuyDown<1¢ | $2 |
| 263d | Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 10PM ET | BuyDown<1¢ | $3 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.