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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 85 | 88¢ → 100¢ | $85 | +$10 +14% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 165d | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | BuyNo88¢ | $75 |
| 325d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | SellYes4¢ | $74 |
| 336d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes15¢ | $94 |
| 336d | Will Google have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025? | SellYes81¢ | $95 |
| 336d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes15¢ | $78 |
| 336d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30? | SellYes2¢ | $78 |
| 337d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30? | BuyYes2¢ | $68 |
| 337d | Will Google have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025? | BuyYes85¢ | $100 |
| 337d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes14¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.