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Polymarket wallet 0xf5a4447b1463fe2bf418c6925772906dee9a879d · on Polymarket since Feb 13, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by March 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 91 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 222 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 105 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 101 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Khamenei tweet again by March 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,999 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 214d | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SellYes9¢ | $11 |
| 217d | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BuyYes25¢ | $30 |
| 233d | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5? | SellYes81¢ | $93 |
| 233d | Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BuyYes9¢ | $20 |
| 234d | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5? | BuyYes13¢ | $15 |
| 234d | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BuyYes38¢ | $40 |
| 234d | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BuyYes16¢ | $16 |
| 236d | Will Khamenei tweet again by March 1? | BuyNo1¢ | $20 |
| 236d | US forces enter Iran by March 1? | BuyYes11¢ | $10 |
| 243d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes23¢ | $100 |
| 243d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes18¢ | $19 |
| 243d | US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | BuyYes14¢ | $10 |
| 243d | US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | BuyYes10¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.