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Polymarket wallet 0xf6de27f6f581c22e756c9a26ab7b7875903f67a4 · on Polymarket since Feb 3, 2026 · also shown as Far-Off-Vanilla
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US government shutdown Saturday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 153 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| 5+ days Gov Shutdown Odds >50% Monday Night (12-1 AM)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 261d | Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | BuyDown2¢ | $3 |
| 261d | Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | SellUp94¢ | $3 |
| 261d | Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | BuyUp84¢ | $3 |
| 261d | Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | BuyDown15¢ | $1 |
| 261d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BuyUp37¢ | $1 |
| 261d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BuyDown69¢ | $2 |
| 263d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 263d | 5+ days Gov Shutdown Odds >50% Monday Night (12-1 AM)? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 263d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 263d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 263d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyNo<1¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.