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Polymarket wallet 0xf7681d9ed5c46f5ba65f78d2f5cf55d06cf8082f · on Polymarket since Nov 2, 2025 · also shown as Welcome-Education
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Hryshyne by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 520 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$364 −100% |
| Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 7%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 140 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$74 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 597 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$146 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 166d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | BuyNo<1¢ | $13 |
| 267d | U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? | BuyNo25¢ | $145 |
| 267d | U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? | BuyNo23¢ | $1 |
| 267d | Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | SellNo86¢ | $145 |
| 269d | Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo87¢ | $146 |
| 269d | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SellYes25¢ | $147 |
| 287d | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BuyYes16¢ | $94 |
| 310d | Will Russia enter Hryshyne by December 31? | BuyNo70¢ | $364 |
| 323d | US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15? | BuyNo74¢ | $202 |
| 326d | Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 7%? | BuyYes53¢ | $74 |
| 333d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyNo73¢ | $201 |
| 340d | US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21? | BuyNo87¢ | $9 |
| 350d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ | $86 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.