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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 212d | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SellNo80¢ | $5 |
| 228d | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BuyNo57¢ | $4 |
| 236d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $3 |
| 237d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes76¢ | $2 |
| 249d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9AM ET | BuyDown<1¢ | $2 |
| 250d | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo68¢ | $1 |
| 251d | Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? | SellNo99¢ | $1 |
| 253d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6AM ET | BuyDown39¢ | $1 |
| 253d | Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.