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Polymarket wallet 0xf86cf51e02fbf9c55e790a6ced6574ccca8f3487 · on Polymarket since Jan 21, 2026 · also shown as Ruddy-Octagon
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,178 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$589 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 236d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $589 |
| 236d | Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 2PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $295 |
| 245d | US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $44 |
| 247d | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? | BuyNo>99¢ | $9 |
| 247d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $64 |
| 247d | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? | BuyNo>99¢ | $240 |
| 247d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyNo78¢ | $133 |
| 247d | Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 2PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $1,144 |
| 274d | Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 10AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $415 |
| 274d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 10AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $811 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 8 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.