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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Noboa out as President of Ecuador by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$0 +5.3% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 173d | Daniel Noboa out as President of Ecuador by June 30? | BuyNo95¢ | $6 |
| 181d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 181d | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April? | BuyNo55¢ | $1 |
| 182d | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 182d | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BuyNo1¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.