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Polymarket wallet 0xfa8c46591c79843152d02c44725c3d0ef98f0f88 · on Polymarket since Nov 1, 2024 · also shown as Defensive-Atmosphere
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 562 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 723 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Panthers vs. CanadiensSettled - ready to redeem | Panthers | 255 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$166 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 375 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 266d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes6¢ | $34 |
| 266d | US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026? | SellYes<1¢ | $34 |
| 267d | US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026? | BuyYes5¢ | $1,201 |
| 271d | US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | BuyYes4¢ | $25 |
| 282d | US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | BuyYes43¢ | $8 |
| 282d | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BuyYes53¢ | $200 |
| 571d | Panthers vs. Canadiens | BuyPanthers65¢ | $166 |
| 571d | Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $330b and $340b on March 31? | SellYes10¢ | $17 |
| 571d | Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $330b and $340b on March 31? | BuyYes31¢ | $20 |
| 571d | Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $330b and $340b on March 31? | BuyYes9¢ | $10 |
| 571d | Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $330b on March 31? | SellYes84¢ | $176 |
| 571d | Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $330b on March 31? | BuyYes95¢ | $200 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.