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Polymarket wallet 0xfaf91c3b845c7a84737d0b909a2586b73ae082ca · on Polymarket since Jan 14, 2026 · also shown as Gullible-Pheromone
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 200 | 24¢ → 48¢ | $96 | +$48 +100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6d | Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026? | BuyYes24¢ | $50 |
| 191d | Krka vs. Zadar | BuyKrka50¢ | $19 |
| 191d | Krka vs. Zadar | BuyKrka50¢ | $1 |
| 191d | Krka vs. Zadar | BuyKrka50¢ | $30 |
| 259d | Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in February? | BuyYes31¢ | $47 |
| 261d | Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in February? | BuyYes31¢ | $62 |
| 264d | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1? | SellYes93¢ | $112 |
| 265d | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8? | BuyYes51¢ | $82 |
| 265d | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | SellYes51¢ | $61 |
| 272d | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1? | BuyYes60¢ | $72 |
| 278d | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | BuyYes45¢ | $36 |
| 278d | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25? | BuyYes58¢ | $12 |
| 282d | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | BuyYes51¢ | $10 |
| 282d | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | BuyYes51¢ | $70 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.